Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.034937 0.040585 0.046856 0.054337 0.063022 0.072789 0.084615
2025-12-07 0.025766 0.033056 0.041982 0.053724 0.068776 0.087448 0.112408
2025-12-14 0.020041 0.027731 0.037877 0.052254 0.072138 0.098720 0.137059
2025-12-21 0.016188 0.023830 0.034547 0.050690 0.074448 0.108224 0.160074
2025-12-28 0.014082 0.021867 0.033375 0.051650 0.080031 0.122581 0.191530
2026-01-04 0.012288 0.020010 0.031971 0.051880 0.084316 0.135305 0.222012
2026-01-11 0.010830 0.018414 0.030671 0.051967 0.088208 0.147688 0.253385
2026-01-18 0.009761 0.017272 0.029899 0.052723 0.093162 0.162237 0.290088
2026-01-25 0.008975 0.016484 0.029580 0.054145 0.099343 0.179487 0.333597
2026-02-01 0.007846 0.014921 0.027693 0.052492 0.099763 0.186566 0.359560
2026-02-08 0.007065 0.013889 0.026615 0.052151 0.102489 0.198050 0.395089
2026-02-15 0.006368 0.012919 0.025519 0.051610 0.104710 0.208758 0.430370
2026-02-22 0.005914 0.012379 0.025206 0.052609 0.110188 0.226638 0.482836
2026-03-01 0.005351 0.011545 0.024206 0.052087 0.112504 0.238489 0.524500
2026-03-08 0.004774 0.010605 0.022871 0.050676 0.112743 0.246030 0.557887
2026-03-15 0.004261 0.009735 0.021571 0.049162 0.112538 0.252548 0.589812
2026-03-22 0.004003 0.009398 0.021383 0.050093 0.117905 0.271913 0.653598
2026-03-29 0.003717 0.008961 0.020915 0.050317 0.121657 0.288071 0.711996
2026-04-05 0.003451 0.008533 0.020416 0.050401 0.125081 0.303861 0.771610
2026-04-12 0.003251 0.008241 0.020199 0.051133 0.130169 0.324224 0.845339
2026-04-19 0.003105 0.008066 0.020241 0.052513 0.137044 0.349788 0.935829
2026-04-26 0.002808 0.007467 0.019165 0.050910 0.136072 0.355556 0.975160
2026-05-03 0.002606 0.007089 0.018605 0.050579 0.138397 0.370069 1.040018